Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko made a lot of verbal efforts to stick the label of “fifth column” to the political opposition. Taking into consideration the historical background of this definition, it’s still unclear, whom the first four Belarusian columns consist of and what’s difference between them. But it seems like everything’s clear about the “sixth column”.
On September 21, 2012 in Moscow, the representatives of 3 public associations from Belarus, Russia and Ukraine adopted a charter of “reunification” of the folks of these countries. According to the idea of initiators, the mass signing of the charter by the people of three nations should start today, on October 2, 2012.
It should be noted that the event itself may seem of little interest: such initiatives are appearing regularly, making loud proclamations and result in nothing. The initiators of the charter also clearly understand that the ruling elites of Belarus and Ukraine are not going to give up their own power because of someone’s neo-imperial intends. Then what is the cause of such action? It would be understandable if the organizers of the event were the “integration supporters” of traditional type: aged slightly over 70, having big experience of sitting in the Soviet communist party or Komsomol chairs and suffering from continuous sluggish marasmus complicated by mania of Zionists’ conspiracy against Orthodoxy. However, in this case, the initiators of the charter are people in active age, having a wide range of interests. There are various ways to treat their political position, but their sanity should not be doubted. So, why do they trigger a backflash once again and ignore the negative experience of their predecessors in the “reunification”, accumulated for over 21 years old?
As mentioned above, the initiators have no illusions about the possibility of reaching the goal, declared by them. So, in our opinion, their objectives are more realistic and even utilitarian. These objectives can be defined through analysis of the activities: the charter is distributed via the Internet, while places, where it can be signed by hand by all interested persons, will be created as well. The ideological supporters can sign a document, having received it with the help of e-mail request. The request must specify the data, including the place of residence and work.
With regards to Belarusian realities, the point of such activity is creating a database of potential participants of the pro-Moscow “initiative”. Such approach (the creation of a database of potential activists through collecting signatures in support of the ideological core initiative) has been already tested in Belarus. The example is signature campaign, which was organized by “Tell the Truth!” in its early days.
With the right approach, the signature campaign is quite able to identify the persons supporting this or that idea in order to involve them in various activities. With regard to the proposed charter it’s necessary to admit, that its proponents have chosen the best option and now they offer to make efforts to sign the document. In this way, people, who have the potential to become activists of an organization, are identified. And the information about their residence will help to identify potential network and the possibility to consolidate the activists in the field. The requirement to specify the activity and job is designed to identify those that may be helpful because of their skills or access to information.
At this rate it can be concluded that the results of the charter signing campaign, its authors (and most likely, those who are their bosses) plan to determine the framework for the deployment and promotion of the political network organization.
The very idea of creating a a Russophile political organization is not new and is not bad. The new movement, if it is created, will bring certain dynamism to the political process in Belarus and activate both the government and the opposition, which, frankly speaking, got somehow relaxed and got out of the habit of fighting for power or hold it in a real competition. We have previously drawn the attention to the increase of activity of pro-Russian political organizations. At the moment, it can be said that they are experiencing the expansion and qualitative growth. Moreover, Russian sponsors, in contrast to Western ones, make no high requirements to potential partners in Belarus. According to the analysis of existing structures, supported by Moscow, it can be noted that they are working mainly in the free mode, and have the main task of the increasing the number of activists. More strict and clear requirements for their activities will appear near 2015, when presidential elections are to be held. As a result, Alexander Lukashenko may well face a rival far more powerful than even the candidate from the united national democratic opposition.
However, the Belarusian authorities have certain experience of struggling against political opponents with the help of placing intelligence agents. And a number of active participants in the pro-Russian organizations are already in the field of view of Belarusian KGB and have regular contact with the Belarusian intelligence. And as we know, any collaboration begins with communication.